Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates, A comparison between forecasting horizons and Bayesian vs. Frequentist approaches
Forecasting foreign exchange rates and financial asset prices in general is a hard task. The best model has often been shown to be a simple random walk, which implies that the price movements are unpredictable. In this thesis models that have been somewhat successful in the past are developed and investigated for different forecasting horizons. The aim is to find models that significantly dominate